[FOMC Model] Forecast #forecast #es #101tradingideas

FOMC Model My FOMC model is forecasting a +19 pt rise in ES over the next 20 days (from last night’s close of 2163.50). The model is right 76% of the time with a z-score of 2.6. The model is based on an idea triggered by 101 Trading Ideas: A Magical List for Fast-Paced Alpha Read more about [FOMC Model] Forecast #forecast #es #101tradingideas[…]

Super Forecasters and FOMC

Bloomberg article, Super Forecasters and Fed Decision: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-10-28/what-the-superforecasters-say-about-when-the-fed-will-lift-rate Superforecasting book: http://www.amazon.com/Superforecasting-Prediction-Philip-E-Tetlock-ebook/dp/B00RKO6MS8/ref=tmm_kin_swatch_0 And you’ll probably want Thinking Fast and Slow, too: http://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Fast-Slow-Daniel-Kahneman-ebook/dp/B00555X8OA/ref=pd_sim_351_3