[Stats] December vs January

Trend Day Forecast December vs January Stats This is hard for everyone. My stats are off roughly 50% per category, i.e., in December I was getting the Trend Day/Rangebound Day forecasts right 61% of the time, in January that number is 36%. Everything is Overbought or Oversold on longer term time frames –  But we’re Read more about [Stats] December vs January[…]

[Equities] Pre-Market Trend Odds: 18%, Nov. 20, 2015

Premarket Trend Odds for Equities: 18% Potential Trend Day in Equities November 19, 2015 Odds of a new Market Positioning Shock: 5% Current Trend Odds, all Markets (fuel, more fuel == bigger moves): 8% Current Trend Odds, Market Stress: 20% Current Trend Odds, Historical Stats: 25% Current Trend Odds, Equities: 18%  See Equity Trend Indicator for Read more about [Equities] Pre-Market Trend Odds: 18%, Nov. 20, 2015[…]

[Risk] Pre-Market Trend Odds: 16%, Nov. 20, 2015

Risk, Pre-Market Trend Odds, Fixed, Equities, Commodities: Rangebound in Most Markets November 20, 2015 Odds of a new Multiday Positioning shock: 5% Odds today is a Trend Day (current Trend Odds): 8% Odds today is a Trend Day (current Market Stress): 25% Odds today is a Trend Day: 16% Likely Rangebound Day in Most Markets, November 19, 2015.

[Equities] Potential Trend Day, Pre-Market Trend Odds: 36% Nov 19, 2015

Premarket Trend Odds for Equities: 36% Potential Trend Day in Equities November 19, 2015 Odds of a new Market Positioning Shock: 5% Current Trend Odds, all Markets (fuel, more fuel == bigger moves): 40% Current Trend Odds, Market Stress: 30% Current Trend Odds, Historical Stats: 40% Current Trend Odds, Equities: 36%  See Equity Trend Indicator for Read more about [Equities] Potential Trend Day, Pre-Market Trend Odds: 36% Nov 19, 2015[…]

[Risk] Pre-Market Trend Odds Most Markets: 30% Nov 19, 2015

Risk, Pre-Market Trend Odds, Fixed, Equities, Commodities: Rangebound in Most Markets November 19, 2015 Odds of a new Multiday Positioning shock (drift in shock direction): 5% Odds today is a Trend Day (current Trend Odds): 40% Odds today is a Trend Day (current Market Stress): 20% Odds today is a Trend Day: 30% Likely Rangebound Day in Most Markets, November Read more about [Risk] Pre-Market Trend Odds Most Markets: 30% Nov 19, 2015[…]

[Risk] Pre-Market Trend Odds Most Markets: 12%, Nov 17, 2015

Risk, Pre-Market Trend Odds, Fixed, Equities, Commodities: Rangebound in Most Markets November 17, 2015 Odds of a new Multiday Positioning shock (drift in shock direction) FOMC, Paris: 5% Odds today is a Trend Day (current Trend Odds): 16% Odds today is a Trend Day (current Market Stress): 16% Odds today is a Trend Day: 12% Likely Rangebound Day in Most Read more about [Risk] Pre-Market Trend Odds Most Markets: 12%, Nov 17, 2015[…]

[Equities] Pre Market Trend Odds: 19%, Nov 17, 2015

Premarket Trend Odds for Equities: 19% Likely Rangebound Day in Equities November 17, 2015 Odds of a new Market Positioning Shock (Paris, FOMC, ECB): 5% Current Trend Odds, all Markets (fuel, more fuel == bigger moves): 8% Current Trend Odds, Market Stress: 16% Current Trend Odds, Stats: 33% Current Trend Odds, Equities: 19%  Yesterday’s pre-market was Read more about [Equities] Pre Market Trend Odds: 19%, Nov 17, 2015[…]

Likely Rangebound Day in Most Markets, November 12, 2015

Likely Rangebound Day in Most Markets, November 12, 2015 Odds of a Multiday Positioning shock: 10% Odds today is a Trend Day (current Trend Odds): 8% Odds today is a Trend Day (current Market Stress): 20% Likely Rangebound Day in most markets. See Equity Trend Indicator for live Trend Day/Rangebound Day forecast for equity markets

Likely Rangebound Day, November 11, 2015

Likely Rangebound Day in Most Markets, November 11, 2015 Odds of a Multiday Positioning shock or continuation move from Employment Friday: 15% Odds today is a Trend Day (current Trend Odds): 8% Odds today is a Trend Day (current Market Stress): 15% Likely Rangebound Day in most markets. See Equity Trend Indicator for live Trend Day/Rangebound Day odds for equities.

Likely Rangebound Day, November 10, 2015

Likely Rangebound Day in Most Markets, November 9, 2015 Odds of a Multiday Positioning shock or continuation move from Employment Friday: 33% Odds today is a Trend Day (current Trend Odds): 16% Odds today is a Trend Day (current Market Stress): 33% Likely Rangebound Day in most markets. See Equity Trend Indicator for live Trend Day/Rangebound Day odds for equities.